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- <text id=94TT0215>
- <title>
- Feb. 21, 1994: Clinton To Tokyo:No Deal
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1994
- Feb. 21, 1994 The Star-Crossed Olympics
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- DIPLOMACY, Page 41
- Clinton To Tokyo:No Deal
- </hdr>
- <body>
- <p>The U.S. tells Japan it must get serious about opening up its
- markets
- </p>
- <p>By Richard Lacayo--Reported by David Aikman/Washington and Edward W. Desmond/Tokyo
- </p>
- <p> It was really no surprise that last week's meeting between
- Bill Clinton and Japanese Prime Minister Morihiro Hosokawa ended
- with sour expressions--for eight months the two nations have
- failed to agree on how to measure progress in Japan's efforts
- to open its markets. But given the tradition of smoothing over
- differences at the close of most summits, the unvarnished frankness
- at the final bow of this one was something new. At a joint press
- appearance, with Hosokawa at his side, Clinton let loose. Japan's
- markets "still remain less open to imports than any other" major
- nation's, he said. Japan still "screens out many of our products,
- even our most competitive products." Clinton's summation was
- startlingly blunt: "It is better to have reached no agreement
- than to have reached an empty agreement."
- </p>
- <p> "What you saw today was the ending of the former U.S. policy
- of trade insanity," said a senior Administration official. "That
- is, doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a
- different result." The meeting was the first of the biannual
- summits required under the trade agreement signed in Tokyo last
- summer by Clinton and former Prime Minister Kiichi Miyazawa.
- The pact aimed at trimming Japan's trade surplus with the U.S.,
- which has jumped to a near record $60 billion. Last summer's
- agreement called for "objective criteria" for measuring progress,
- and the sticking point ever since has been each side's differing
- notion of what objective criteria may be. To the White House,
- the term refers to numerical targets by which to measure the
- openness of Japanese markets--the ratio of imports to total
- GNP is one gauge the U.S. has discussed. The Japanese scorn
- that approach as "managed trade," saying it would amount to
- permitting the U.S. to establish import goals for its products
- in Japan. They prefer vague promises to do better.
- </p>
- <p> Two weeks ago, when it became apparent that last-ditch trade
- talks in Washington were breaking down, Hosokawa quietly dispatched
- a high-level envoy to head off a conflict. When that failed,
- he sent an even higher intermediary, Foreign Minister Tsutomu
- Hata. But a Thursday breakfast meeting between Hata and U.S.
- Trade Representative Mickey Kantor was ended abruptly by Kantor,
- who complained that Hata had brought nothing new. After Hosokawa
- arrived later that day, Hata asked for one last, late-night
- session. But after three more hours of talks that broke up at
- 4 a.m., there was still no progress.
- </p>
- <p> Nothing in American public opinion discouraged Clinton from
- continuing the hard line later that day. Standing up to Japan
- never hurts an American President, especially one trying to
- escape an image for indecisiveness in foreign affairs. Meeting
- with Hosokawa at the White House, with Vice President Al Gore,
- National Security Adviser Anthony Lake and Secretary of State
- Warren Christopher present, Clinton told the Prime Minister
- they might be so far apart that there was not much more to discuss.
- </p>
- <p> The two nations did manage to agree on measures to discourage
- North Korea from developing nuclear weapons, assist poor nations
- with population control, fight AIDS and rebuild the despoiled
- environment of Eastern Europe. The irony of the split on trade
- is that Clinton and Hosokawa are similar politicians, and the
- Prime Minister came to the U.S. with a number of domestic achievements
- calculated to make the White House happy, including a difficult
- agreement in the Japanese parliament on a $141 billion package
- of tax cuts and other measures designed to stimulate Japan's
- weakened economy. Although Washington was disappointed that
- the tax cuts would be rescinded after one year, the package
- could still help Japanese consumers buy imports.
- </p>
- <p> The real showdown is just starting. Within hours of the farewell
- press conference, the White House was insisting that the postsummit
- breakfast on Saturday would be a purely social affair, with
- further negotiating ruled out indefinitely unless the Japanese
- change their position on numerical targets. With that unlikely,
- trade sanctions against Japan become a real possibility. "I
- have no idea what will happen from here on," Clinton said at
- the press conference. But he already has some ideas.
- </p>
-
- </body>
- </article>
- </text>
-
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